Market sentiment plays a critical role in assessing share price movements. Stockradar delivers a consistent measurement of market sentiment using its unique tool, the Trend Intensity Indicator. The Trend Intensity Indicator combines and weighs four simple tools: trend, volume, moving averages and price momentum. This generates an invaluable benchmark that highlights only those stocks with compelling […]
Do you remember playing pretend when you were little? Maybe you were a superhero, a dinosaur or a princess. It’s normal when you’re little, and it’s usually harmless. Most children know the difference between pretending to be a superhero and jumping off the roof thinking they can fly.
But adults often forget.
For instance, we may stop pretending to be superheroes, but a lot of us seem convinced that we can pretend to be investors. That’s dangerous.
Pretend investors think that financial pornography is real, so the ticker tape scrolling across the television screen all day represents actionable information.Real investors know it might be entertaining, like going to the circus, but they would never make a decision because of it.
Pretend investors think it makes perfect sense to change their investments based on what they hear in the news: There’s a new president, so act! He doesn’t like the Federal Reserve, so trade! He criticized bankers, so buy bank stocks!Real investors know that they make changes to their investments based on what happens in their own lives. If their goals change or there is a fundamental change in their financial situation, then they consider an alteration. But they would never make a change based on someone yelling “buy” or “sell” on television.
Pretend investors think they need to monitor their investments all the time. The little supercomputer they carry around in their pockets makes it so easy.Real investors know that it takes a long time for a tree to grow, and it will not help to dig it up to see if the roots are still there. The same rule applies to investments. And because watching things get big slowly is not very exciting, real investors tend not to talk about that tree all that much.
Pretend investors talk about their investments — a lot. They say things like, “I’m long this, or short that.” They use jargon that often does not make sense, though it sounds kind of impressive if you don’t listen too closely. Sometimes they cheer for things like increased consumer spending, higher unemployment, or in some cases, war.Real investors understand the difference between the global economy and their personal economy and choose to focus on the latter.
Pretend investors will worry endlessly about the news in some far-off part of the world or the impact on their portfolio.Real investors focus on the things they can control, like saving a bit more next year, keeping their investment costs low, not paying fees unless it’s necessary and managing their behavior by not buying high and selling again when prices are low.
Pretend investors complain endlessly about volatility in the market and external actions that have short-term impact on the big bets they have made on individual stocks.Real investors have enjoyed the benefits of a market that is up more than 180 percent in the last 20 years.
So ask yourself this: Isn’t it finally time to stop pretending now?
SOURCE: BEHAVIOUR GAP
/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/logo.png00Stockradar/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/logo.pngStockradar2016-11-28 04:10:032021-06-18 17:51:31...a lot of us seem convinced that we can pretend to be investors. That’s dangerous.
An excellent article in the AFR today on page 13, ‘The second life of our star trader (12/9/16), on one successful trader ‘doing it his way” . It has always intrigued my to read of the successes of other traders. Often the template is the similar but usually they will have one unique defining point of difference.
The key “template” takeaways:
Allocate capital – Stockradar’s Portfolio process allocates capital evenly and often with a cash component
Work with probabilities for safety – Stockradar uses three key ‘tried and tested’ trade setups that are focused on probabilities of success
Size trade with commensurate rewards – Stockradar carefully manages the risk exposure in each trade to generate the optimum return
Manage risk in totality – Stockradar does this on a stock specific trade basis and also on a ‘totality’ of portfolio weighting process.
For those of you that haven’t yet you can always take a free trial and see how we really work and generate our absolute return profile.
/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/logo.png00Stockradar/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/logo.pngStockradar2016-09-12 01:07:092021-06-18 17:51:54The 'trade' ingredients that make up a successful trader.
What do you do when you want to be a trader but you’re struggling to be consistently profitable?
Some traders take endless courses or read countless trading books, some find a mentor. Most just keep struggling until they get it right, or give up.
But Aaron Fifield decided he wanted to do something different. So he started a podcast where he interviews some of the best traders on the planet.
Fifield, the host of the popular Chat with Traders podcast – one I listen to every week – told Business Insider he “was making little progress and something had to change if I really wanted to become a profitable trader — it had to become more than a hobby”.“I understood the power of mentors and having relationships with those who were where I wanted to be (or at least, further advanced). But no one in my circle of family or friends etc had any interest in financial markets, investing or trading and I’d always learned a lot from listening to podcasts and enjoyed listening to them.”
And thus his podcast was born.
Fifield is now 88 episodes into his journey which has included chats with Blair Hull, Jerry Parker, Tom Sosnoff, Nick Radge, Nicola Duke, RealVisiontv founder Raoul Pal and even Jack Swager, the author of the Market Wizard series of books and himself a student of great traders.
So we asked Fifield if he could share some of the wisdom he’d picked up along his journey.
The one piece of knowledge that he’d like to share with his novice trading self and other traders was you have to find your comparative advantage, your edge, to be successful.
“You need to understand the importance of having an edge — and understand what an edge is,” Fifield said.
“Blair Hull defines as an edge as making the same kind of trade hundreds of times, and in the long run, having more money than you did to begin with.”
And it’s edge that pops up again when Business Insider asked him what were the most important lessons he’d learned from his conversations with traders.
Blair Hull told him “If you’re missing an edge, there’s no reason to play”, while Tom Dante taught him “If you’re not working on your edge, someone else is”.
For me though, my favourite episodes, amongst so many, are Fifield’s discussions with ‘FuturesTrader 71’. He appears in episodes 37 and 82 and is a trader who really learnt his craft from the ground up.
His point, the one Fifield thinks is among the most important he’s taken away from his scores of conversations, is that traders need to “stop being afraid that somehow you’re going to lose money”.
“In fact, you’re guaranteed to lose money, it’s part of the process.”
Traders need to learn how to lose before they can learn how to win, Fifield added
/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/logo.png00Stockradar/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/logo.pngStockradar2016-09-06 01:30:112021-06-18 17:51:54Trading with an edge and learning to lose are two key lessons to learn if you want to become a successful trader
The three big reasons for trading drawdowns according to renown trading Psychologist Brett Steenbarger:
1) They’re trading a strategy that doesn’t fit the present market; 2) They’re trading the right strategy, but their head isn’t in the game and they’re not following their strategy; 3) They’re trading the right strategy with a good mindset, but they’re employing the wrong tactics and thus not implementing their strategy the right way.
The may be so but I find the STOP the simplest most effective and reliable way to stop drawdowns.
/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/logo.png00Stockradar/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/logo.pngStockradar2016-08-31 05:14:342021-06-18 17:51:54The three big reasons for trading drawdowns
A computer armed with artificial intelligence has beaten the worlds best player at the Chinese game of Go. Go is complicated, but its nothing compared with a world that has more than 7 billion traders making their own moves every day. Yes we all need a plan of engagement.
/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/logo.png00Stockradar/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/logo.pngStockradar2016-08-17 01:36:022021-06-18 17:51:54Artificial intelligence has some way to go yet
Trading In The Zone by Mark Douglas is widely regarded as a classic in trading literature.
I myself have read it many times throughout my trading career, always managing to learn something new from it with each successive read.
Excerpts:
“Ninety-five percent of the trading errors you are likely to make—causing the money to just evaporate before your eyes—will stem from your attitudes about being wrong, losing money, missing out, and leaving money on the table. What I call the four primary trading fears.”
“If you perceive the endless stream of opportunities to enter and exit trades without self-criticism and regret, then you will be in the best frame of mind to act in your own best interest and learn from your experiences.”
“People see what they’ve learned to see, and everything else is invisible until they learn how to counteract the energy that blocks their awareness of whatever is unlearned and waiting to be discovered.”
“To operate effectively in the trading environment, we need rules and boundaries to guide our behavior. It is a simple fact of trading that the potential exists to do enormous damage to ourselves damage that can be way out of proportion to what we may think is possible.”
“There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge. In other words, based on the past performance of your edge, you may know that out of the next 20 trades, 12 will be winners and 8 will be losers. What you don’t know is the sequence of wins and losses or how much money the market is going to make available on the winning trades. This truth makes trading a probability or numbers game. When you really believe that trading is simply a probability game, concepts like ‘right’ and ‘wrong’ or ‘win’ and ‘lose’ no longer have the same significance.”
What Mark is talking about here is very important.
Probability is one of the least understood aspects of the markets, having a firm understanding of probability and how it relates to you and your trading strategy will allow you to keep your expectations inline with the reality of the markets.
If you have tested your trading strategy over a sample size of trades ( lets say a thousand for example’s sake) you’ll know how many of the trades out of the thousand you have won and lost on, additionally you’ll also know what the highest streak of winners and losers you have had in a row.
Knowing this information allows you to trade from a standpoint of probability rather than chance, if you know out of 1000 trades your going to win on 500 of them then what purpose does it serve to be scared of losing money ?
We are blessed to of had someone as smart as Mark Douglas to shed an incredible amount of light on the psychological aspects of trading, if were not for him many of the techniques used to control and understand what a trader is thinking when trading would of forever been lost.
/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/logo.png00Stockradar/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/logo.pngStockradar2016-07-26 08:54:572024-02-01 16:50:435 Things You Can Learn From Trading In The Zone
The Trend Intensity Rating Indicator
/by StockradarMarket sentiment plays a critical role in assessing share price movements. Stockradar delivers a consistent measurement of market sentiment using its unique tool, the Trend Intensity Indicator. The Trend Intensity Indicator combines and weighs four simple tools: trend, volume, moving averages and price momentum. This generates an invaluable benchmark that highlights only those stocks with compelling […]
…a lot of us seem convinced that we can pretend to be investors. That’s dangerous.
/by StockradarDo you remember playing pretend when you were little? Maybe you were a superhero, a dinosaur or a princess. It’s normal when you’re little, and it’s usually harmless. Most children know the difference between pretending to be a superhero and jumping off the roof thinking they can fly.
But adults often forget.
For instance, we may stop pretending to be superheroes, but a lot of us seem convinced that we can pretend to be investors. That’s dangerous.
So ask yourself this: Isn’t it finally time to stop pretending now?
SOURCE: BEHAVIOUR GAP
The ‘trade’ ingredients that make up a successful trader.
/by StockradarAn excellent article in the AFR today on page 13, ‘The second life of our star trader (12/9/16), on one successful trader ‘doing it his way” . It has always intrigued my to read of the successes of other traders. Often the template is the similar but usually they will have one unique defining point of difference.
The key “template” takeaways:
– Stockradar’s Portfolio process allocates capital evenly and often with a cash component
– Stockradar uses three key ‘tried and tested’ trade setups that are focused on probabilities of success
– Stockradar carefully manages the risk exposure in each trade to generate the optimum return
– Stockradar does this on a stock specific trade basis and also on a ‘totality’ of portfolio weighting process.
For those of you that haven’t yet you can always take a free trial and see how we really work and generate our absolute return profile.
Trading with an edge and learning to lose are two key lessons to learn if you want to become a successful trader
/by StockradarWhat do you do when you want to be a trader but you’re struggling to be consistently profitable?
Some traders take endless courses or read countless trading books, some find a mentor. Most just keep struggling until they get it right, or give up.
But Aaron Fifield decided he wanted to do something different. So he started a podcast where he interviews some of the best traders on the planet.
Fifield, the host of the popular Chat with Traders podcast – one I listen to every week – told Business Insider he “was making little progress and something had to change if I really wanted to become a profitable trader — it had to become more than a hobby”.“I understood the power of mentors and having relationships with those who were where I wanted to be (or at least, further advanced). But no one in my circle of family or friends etc had any interest in financial markets, investing or trading and I’d always learned a lot from listening to podcasts and enjoyed listening to them.”
And thus his podcast was born.
Fifield is now 88 episodes into his journey which has included chats with Blair Hull, Jerry Parker, Tom Sosnoff, Nick Radge, Nicola Duke, RealVisiontv founder Raoul Pal and even Jack Swager, the author of the Market Wizard series of books and himself a student of great traders.
So we asked Fifield if he could share some of the wisdom he’d picked up along his journey.
The one piece of knowledge that he’d like to share with his novice trading self and other traders was you have to find your comparative advantage, your edge, to be successful.
“You need to understand the importance of having an edge — and understand what an edge is,” Fifield said.
“Blair Hull defines as an edge as making the same kind of trade hundreds of times, and in the long run, having more money than you did to begin with.”
And it’s edge that pops up again when Business Insider asked him what were the most important lessons he’d learned from his conversations with traders.
Blair Hull told him “If you’re missing an edge, there’s no reason to play”, while Tom Dante taught him “If you’re not working on your edge, someone else is”.
For me though, my favourite episodes, amongst so many, are Fifield’s discussions with ‘FuturesTrader 71’. He appears in episodes 37 and 82 and is a trader who really learnt his craft from the ground up.
His point, the one Fifield thinks is among the most important he’s taken away from his scores of conversations, is that traders need to “stop being afraid that somehow you’re going to lose money”.
“In fact, you’re guaranteed to lose money, it’s part of the process.”
Traders need to learn how to lose before they can learn how to win, Fifield added
The three big reasons for trading drawdowns
/by StockradarThe three big reasons for trading drawdowns according to renown trading Psychologist Brett Steenbarger:
1) They’re trading a strategy that doesn’t fit the present market;
2) They’re trading the right strategy, but their head isn’t in the game and they’re not following their strategy;
3) They’re trading the right strategy with a good mindset, but they’re employing the wrong tactics and thus not implementing their strategy the right way.
The may be so but I find the STOP the simplest most effective and reliable way to stop drawdowns.
Five distinguishing characteristics of winning traders
/by Stockradar1. Successful traders trade uniquely
2. Successful traders are multidimensional
3.Successful traders work at their trading
4. Successful traders know when to not trade
5. Successful traders are self-aware
Artificial intelligence has some way to go yet
/by StockradarGO
A computer armed with artificial intelligence has beaten the worlds best player at the Chinese game of Go. Go is complicated, but its nothing compared with a world that has more than 7 billion traders making their own moves every day. Yes we all need a plan of engagement.
5 Things You Can Learn From Trading In The Zone
/by StockradarTrading In The Zone by Mark Douglas is widely regarded as a classic in trading literature.
I myself have read it many times throughout my trading career, always managing to learn something new from it with each successive read.
Excerpts:
“Ninety-five percent of the trading errors you are likely to make—causing the money to just evaporate before your eyes—will stem from your attitudes about being wrong, losing money, missing out, and leaving money on the table. What I call the four primary trading fears.”
“If you perceive the endless stream of opportunities to enter and exit trades without self-criticism and regret, then you will be in the best frame of mind to act in your own best interest and learn from your experiences.”
“People see what they’ve learned to see, and everything else is invisible until they learn how to counteract the energy that blocks their awareness of whatever is unlearned and waiting to be discovered.”
“To operate effectively in the trading environment, we need rules and boundaries to guide our behavior. It is a simple fact of trading that the potential exists to do enormous damage to ourselves damage that can be way out of proportion to what we may think is possible.”
“There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge. In other words, based on the past performance of your edge, you may know that out of the next 20 trades, 12 will be winners and 8 will be losers. What you don’t know is the sequence of wins and losses or how much money the market is going to make available on the winning trades. This truth makes trading a probability or numbers game. When you really believe that trading is simply a probability game, concepts like ‘right’ and ‘wrong’ or ‘win’ and ‘lose’ no longer have the same significance.”
What Mark is talking about here is very important.
Probability is one of the least understood aspects of the markets, having a firm understanding of probability and how it relates to you and your trading strategy will allow you to keep your expectations inline with the reality of the markets.
If you have tested your trading strategy over a sample size of trades ( lets say a thousand for example’s sake) you’ll know how many of the trades out of the thousand you have won and lost on, additionally you’ll also know what the highest streak of winners and losers you have had in a row.
Knowing this information allows you to trade from a standpoint of probability rather than chance, if you know out of 1000 trades your going to win on 500 of them then what purpose does it serve to be scared of losing money ?
We are blessed to of had someone as smart as Mark Douglas to shed an incredible amount of light on the psychological aspects of trading, if were not for him many of the techniques used to control and understand what a trader is thinking when trading would of forever been lost.